Developing countries are striving to expand doctoral education, but may struggle to keep up with the demand for PhDs.
That is the conclusion of a European Universities Association report on the first comprehensive survey of trends in doctoral education across East Asia, Latin America and Southern Africa.
According to the study, published on 24 September, there is a striking convergence in national policies towards doctoral education both in those regions and within Europe.
Not only have the number of doctorates awarded surged, but countries and institutions across the world are seeking to boost them for the same reason - to develop society, Thomas Ekman J酶rgensen, head of unit at the EUA鈥檚 Council for Doctoral Education and the report鈥檚 author, told 糖心Vlog.
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鈥淲e asked what the role of doctoral education is and you were not able tell Singapore from Tanzania: it鈥檚 the same way of thinking about it,鈥 he said.
The relative growth in the numbers of PhDs awarded across the developing and developed world over the past six years has also been nearly identical, he said.
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鈥淪ince 2004, you鈥檝e seen 40 per cent increases in Europe, Latin America and the US. If we take Africa and Asia on top of that we would likely see the same numbers.鈥
Cooperation on Doctoral Education between Africa, Asia, Latin America and Europe - published at the EUA Doctoral Week held at Sweden鈥檚 Karolinska Institute from 23 to September - says that both universities and governments are seeking to increase the number of academics holding PhDs.
But Dr J酶rgensen warned that it may be difficult to retain doctorate holders in universities 鈥渋f on top of that you want the knowledge transfer - PhDs in industry and in government鈥.
He also said that despite the strong (if often unfounded) discourse in the US and Europe about the lack of academic jobs for doctoral students, worldwide this was not a problem.
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鈥淲hat we saw was there鈥檚 not enough to go around. If [doctoral graduates] really want a job in the university sector, go to Brazil, Chile, Argentina or South Africa,鈥 he said.
However, institutions in developing regions still needed to increase overall research investment to meet PhD demand, he added.
鈥淚n some countries we saw they had high numbers of admissions without a corresponding increase in graduation. So you have plummeting completion rates and we don鈥檛 really know why that is. What we can say is you just can鈥檛 invest in this as if it were undergraduate education.鈥
Another feature of the survey is that spending on doctoral education in the developing regions measured is much more concentrated than in Europe, particularly in Brazil, South Africa and the Republic of Korea (where half of all doctorates come from just two universities).
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Governments across Europe seeking to concentrate research funding could learn from this model, Dr J酶rgensen said.
鈥淐oncentration is in these countries鈥 investment strategies, but they award investment to the big universities to play a systemic role鈥hey have a social mission to outsource their research capacity to universities that wouldn鈥檛 otherwise have it,鈥 he said.
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