Just a month ago, the idea that coronavirus came from an accidental lab leak in Wuhan was derided by much of the press as a fringe conspiracy theory and banned on Facebook as a form of misinformation.
Now, a host of distinguished scientists, including Anthony Fauci, the US White House鈥檚 chief medical adviser, credit the idea as plausible, if far from proven, and are calling for more openness from the lab at the centre of the theory, the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV).
This extraordinary about-turn has critics asking hard questions, including of elite academic journals, about whether it was right to have shunted the lab leak theory into the fringes in the first place.
Journalists who have聽 the theory in 聽point the finger at The Lancet for allowing Peter Daszak, president of research funder the EcoHealth Alliance, to squash notions of a lab leak early on 鈥 without disclosing that he had a significant potential conflict of interest.
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In February 2020, just as the Western world was waking up to the pandemic鈥檚 spread, Dr Daszak, a British zoologist who has become a controversial central figure in the origins debate, organised and signed a 聽鈥 along with a who鈥檚 who of pandemic experts 鈥 in The Lancet to 鈥渟trongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 does not have a natural origin鈥. The letter has been mentioned in news stories more than 350 times so far.
While a 鈥渘atural origin鈥 might technically include a virus that was captured in the wild聽and then leaked, un-engineered, from the lab聽鈥 a kind of 鈥渓ab leak lite鈥 hypothesis聽鈥 this prospect was not addressed in the letter. Recently released emails show that, in April 2020, Dr聽Daszak wrote to Dr Fauci to thank him for publicly dismissing the idea of a 鈥渓ab release鈥.聽
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Dr Daszak chairs The Lancet鈥檚 task force looking into the origins of the pandemic. He was also part of the international team of experts who probed Wuhan for the World Health Organisation 鈥 and concluded a lab outbreak was 鈥渆xtremely unlikely鈥, despite the WHO鈥檚 own director general saying the team had not been allowed access to all data at the WIV.
But nowhere did The Lancet disclose a critical fact: Dr Daszak had for years to collect bat coronaviruses from the wild 鈥 in order to get ahead of them before they spread to humans 鈥 and led , among other things, 鈥渧irus infection experiments across a range of cell cultures from different species and humanized mice鈥 to assess how they might spread.
鈥淚f the SARS2 virus had indeed escaped from research he funded, Daszak would be potentially culpable. This acute conflict of interest was not declared to The 尝补苍肠别迟鈥s readers,鈥澛爏aid聽an into the theory published by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in early May.
A spokeswoman for The Lancet said that Dr Daszak 鈥渋s one of the world鈥檚 leading experts on zoonotic diseases, including coronaviruses, with experience working in China鈥 and that his task force would assess 鈥渁ll leading hypotheses鈥 including 鈥渓aboratory release鈥. Dr Daszak did not respond to a request for comment.
Rossana Segreto, a former researcher at the University of Innsbruck, said that in January聽The Lancet rejected a letter by her and colleagues calling for an 鈥渙pen scientific debate鈥 about the origins of the virus. A spokeswoman for the journal said that it did not comment on papers not published.
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Dr Segreto also pointed a critical finger at Nature Medicine, which in March 2020 added an 鈥渆ditors鈥 note鈥 to a documenting the creation of a 鈥渃himeric virus鈥 from a bat coronavirus in work done in collaboration with the WIV. The note stresses that there is 鈥渘o evidence鈥 coronavirus was engineered.
But this 2015 paper, critics argue, is exactly the kind of research that聽could lead to a risky new virus, and the paper itself has been tweeted tens of thousands of times.
鈥淭hat message in Nature should now be corrected,鈥 said Dr Segreto. But a spokeswoman for the journal said that it would not amend the note 鈥渁t this time and will continue to follow the scientific developments related to this topic鈥.
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However, some聽prestige journals have also rehabilitated the lab leak theory, not just thrown cold water over it.
A in the theory鈥檚 credibility came on 14 May, when published a letter signed by 18 eminent coronavirus experts arguing that the leak was a 鈥渧iable鈥 theory.
This was not the result of a change of policy by the journal to start taking the leak theory seriously, said Holden Thorp, editor-in-chief of the Science family of journals. 鈥淭his letter was signed by important figures in the Covid story, and we decided to publish it,鈥 he said. 鈥淲e didn鈥檛 get anything prior to this that made it through our process.鈥
Magdalena Skipper, editor-in-chief of Nature, said that the Science letter was a 鈥渧ery legitimate call鈥 for further investigation, and that no discussions about the origin of the virus had been 鈥渢aboo鈥 at Nature.
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But she said she was 鈥減uzzled as to why we鈥檙e having [the debate] again in the absence of new evidence鈥.
POSTSCRIPT:
Print headline:聽Elite journals scrutinised in Wuhan lab leak debate
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