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China鈥檚 Growth: The Making of an Economic Superpower by Linda Yueh

Yongjin Zhang on the riddle at the heart of an Eastern paradox

Published on
June 13, 2013
Last updated
May 22, 2015

The rise of China is at its heart an economic phenomenon. Its story is the 鈥渕ost astonishing example of economic growth in human history鈥, Roderick MacFarquhar of Harvard University has pronounced. 鈥淣ever before has so much wealth been created by so many people in so short a time.鈥 What made it possible for one of the poorest developing economies under communist rule to have been transformed into the world鈥檚 second-largest economy in just 30 years? How can we account for this miraculous making of an economic superpower?

Linda Yueh鈥檚 China鈥檚 Growth grapples with these questions and contributes to unravelling the Chinese puzzle. She is explicit that the country has gone its own way right from 1979, its 鈥淵ear Zero鈥. Not only does China have 鈥渇airly unique economic drivers鈥, but its economic transformation has also taken place in 鈥渋ts unusual institutional (and historical) context鈥. Yueh is, however, equally unequivocal that there is no 鈥淐hina model鈥 and that existing economic theories can explain its phenomenal growth.

At the core of China鈥檚 Growth is a meticulously constructed explanatory scheme, which incorporates a number of theoretical lenses ranging from the neoclassical economic growth model to new growth theories. It also identifies, rather innovatively, social networks - guanxi in particular - as important informal drivers for growth. What further sets apart China鈥檚 Growth from most of the existing literature is its focus on a microeconomic perspective, which Yueh maintains 鈥渃an shed light on the details of the key growth drivers鈥. The microeconomic analysis in the book uses an impressive range of data at the household and company levels. Economic models and mathematical equations in these analyses would be revealing to economists. They are not, however, for the faint-hearted.

Long-standing tensions haunt the microeconomic stories Yueh recounts here. China has had sustained rapid economic growth for more than 30 years without robust market-supporting institutions, with only a nascent legal system and in the absence until recently of any defined property rights. How to explain these anomalies? Informal institutional innovations such as 鈥渄ual tracks鈥 provide only partial (and less than convincing) explanations. What about another enduring 鈥淐hina paradox鈥: the omnipresence of state intervention in the market? Why has this not stifled the market, as standard economic theories suggest? Yueh has tried to square the circle by 鈥渁dapting鈥 them to China, but stops short of asking whether the country鈥檚 economic rise is beyond existing theory.

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Politics is unsurprisingly not part of Yueh鈥檚 explanatory scheme, although she does note that China鈥檚 transition to a market economy 鈥渙ccurred without democratization鈥. Yet who could deny that the biggest paradox in China鈥檚 pathway to power is political? An authoritarian and communist government presides over an increasingly liberalised and marketised economy with a remarkable degree of success.

Can this successful growth story continue for another 30 years? Yueh suggests that it can through rebalancing the economy, establishing the rule of law, promoting scientific innovation, deepening financial reform and optimising the size and scope of the state. She does not say whether, or indeed why and how, the making of an economic superpower could happen without political change.

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The big question, then, is this: if China continues to grow for another 30 years while the seeming contradiction embedded in its political economy persists, will future economists be as generous as Yueh about existing economic theory? As Lord Patten of Barnes, governor of Hong Kong before its handover to China in 1997, warns, if that happens even the fidelity of our political philosophy will be tested.

China鈥檚 Growth: The Making of an Economic Superpower

By Linda Yueh
Oxford University Press, 368pp, 拢25.00
ISBN 9780199205783
Published 11 April 2013

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